The following key items are the underlying currents, sometimes subtle sometimes turbulent, nudging global markets to and fro:
1. POMO Pumps: QE2 market pumps from 10:15 AM to 11 AM each day favoring bulls.
2. Continuing Geopolitical Events such as Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, N. Korea: Dollar bullish and equity bearish. Gold bullish.
3. State and Muni Crisis: Muni’s should experience pain first. Many State budgets turn over in June and July.
4. Europe Crisis Continues: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain, the PIIGS. Italy has close business ties to Libya which may expose Italy’s bad paper.
5. China Property Bubble and China Contagion: When it pops, anytime now, it sure will be a sight.
6. PBOC, China Rate Hikes: First hike 10/19/10, 25 bips; second hike Christmas 12/25/10, 25 bips; third hike on 2/8/11. Expect the hikes to continue.
7. India, Brazil and other Emerging Market Rate Hikes: Same effects as China rate hikes, commodities sell off.
8. Wiki Leaks: Bank or other surprises?
9. Japan Intervention: Japan intervention in the dollar/yen may occur anytime.
10. Congress: Market bullish when not in session, market bearish when in session.
11. 3/3/11 as a historic rhyme of 3/3/33: Banks were closed March 3, 1933. 33 and 13 Masonic numbers. Simply an interesting set of numbers to watch, especially contemplating how Egypt’s markets remain closed indefinitely.
12. 3/4/11: Jobs Report Friday, 8:30 AM.
13. 3/15/11: FOMC one-day meeting, should be market buoyant.
14. 3/18/11: Budget Crisis Deadline extended from 3/4/11. Government shutdown?
15. 3/24/11 and 3/25/11: EU Council Meeting.
16. 4/26/11 and 4/27/11: FOMC two-day meeting, QE3 announcement? FOMC meetings are typically market bullish especially second day.
17. 5/1/11 and on: California financial decisions. Will these decisions spook the country?
18. 5/15/11: Eclipse Sell-off Technique targets this time frame as a potential large market selloff area.
19. June 2011: EU Bank Stress Test Results.
20. June 2011: QE2 Ends.
21. 6/15/11: Bradley Turn date.
22. 6/22/11: Bradley Turn date.
23. 7/15/11: Eclipse Sell-off Technique targets this time frame as a potential large market selloff area.
24. 7/29/11 and 7/30/11: Major Bradley Turn date.
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